• 2nd Floor, 1/15 & 1/17 Tran Binh Trong, Ward 5, Binh Thanh Dist. Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
VANNANG BANOK COMPANY LTD

Impact of the EVFTA Agreement on Vietnam's Textile and Garment Industry

  • Tuesday, Day 04/08/2020
  • Impact of the EVFTA Agreement on Vietnam's Textile and Garment Industry

    With an annual import of more than 250 billion USD of textiles and apparel, the EU is the largest textile and apparel import market in the world, accounting for 34% of the total textile and apparel import turnover of the world, with an average growth in apparel demand. 3% / year, while the export market share of Vietnam textile and garment accounts for only 2.7%, leaving room for Vietnam's textile and garment industry to increase exports to the EU market after the EVFTA Agreement takes effect. is very promising.

    However, we need to reassess the opportunity from the EVFTA agreement from where, at what time and which goods the EU market needs to focus on exploitation. This article will look together on the overall EU textile market and identify possible opportunities from the EVFTA Agreement so that enterprises can actively build production and business plans.

    1. OVERVIEW OF EU MARKET AND CURRENT STATUS OF VIETNAM'S TEXTILE AND GARMENT EXPORT TO EU

    Although the EU is the largest textile and apparel importer in the world, the EU is also the second largest textile and garment exporter in the world, after China, accounting for 24% of the world's textile and apparel export turnover. EU countries import apparel from developing countries and re-export to other EU countries themselves. Therefore, EU textile and apparel exports within the EU account for more than 40.1% of total imports of this market, about 60% of the remaining imports come from non-EU countries, mainly from EU countries. develope.

    Among developing countries exporting to the EU, China, Turkey and Bangladesh are the three countries with the largest export market share to the EU, accounting for nearly 36% of total imports worth US $ 100 billion.

    Although China holds the largest market share, nearly 20% on the EU market, in the past 5 years, the double growth rate - CAGR of China's exports to the EU decreased by 0.1%, while Bangladesh, Pakistan increased by 10%, Vietnam increased by 9%, especially notably Cambodia increased by 17% (from USD 2.8 billion in 2013 to USD 6.3 billion in 2018).

    Except for China as a "big player" in the industry, other countries such as Bangladesh, Cambodia or Pakistan all have an outstanding advantage of import tax incentives compared to Vietnam when exporting to the EU. Bangladesh and Cambodia are exempted from the import tax regime under the EBA program (which stands for Everything but Arm program - Exemption from all commodities except weapons), Pakistan is also exempt from import tax under the GSP + program. Although Vietnam is also entitled to the GSP preferential tariff, it is only "Standard GSP - Standard GSP" at 9.6%.

    It is clear that the competition among developing countries exporting to the EU is quite fierce, the application of GSP + and EBA preferential regimes help countries enjoy a great price advantage compared to the price. Vietnam. This also explains why Vietnam's export market share in the EU market remains around 2-3%.

    Although the growth rate of dual export in the past 5 years has increased by nearly 9%, the proportion of textile exports to the EU in the total textile and garment export turnover to the world of Vietnam in the past 5 years has decreased from 17.1%. in 2015 to 16.3% in 2019.

     

    2. IMPACT OF EVFTA FREE TRADE AGREEMENT ON TEXTILE AND APPAREL INDUSTRY

    The EVFTA Agreement, adopted by the European Parliament on February 12, 2020, is quite important in opening up export promotion opportunities for the textile and apparel industry, especially in the context that the textile and garment industry has been affected. No small movement of US-China trade war over the past year and a half and recently the Covid disease 19. It is expected that Vietnam and the EU will complete the ratification process for the Agreement to officially take effect in July 2020. .

    With the EVFTA Agreement, 100% of Vietnam's textile and apparel products will be reduced to import tax to 0% after a maximum of 7 years after the Agreement comes into effect. Specifically, according to the Ministry of Industry and Trade's statistics on textiles, the EU will eliminate tariffs with 77.3% of Vietnam's exports after 5 years and the remaining 22.7% of exports will be removed. quit after 7 years.

    Thus, the tax competitive advantages of competing countries such as Bangladesh, Cambodia and Pakistan will no longer be available in the near future. Cambodia is facing the challenge of being officially excluded from the GSP preferential tariff program from August 2020, and the Cambodian textile and garment import tax to the EU will increase by 12% due to violations of some rules. EU regulations.

                                                                                                             Source: Compiled from Trademap

    Along with the benefits of tariff elimination, EVFTA with the rules of origin requiring "from fabric" combined with the "yarn forward" requirement of the CPTPP will continue to promote the formation of a closed production chain. from upstream to tailoring finished products, increasing the added value of the industry and gradually reducing the dependence on the import of external raw materials.

    2.1. Benefits to reduce import tax rates

    The base tax rate in EVFTA for garments is 12%, from this tax, the goods will be 0% as soon as the Agreement comes into effect or to 0% according to the roadmap B3, B5, B7 - immediately after 4, 6 , 8 years from the date of entry into force of the Agreement for 0%.

    Regarding the commitment to reduce taxes in EVFTA, businesses should also note that some items in the first year of the Agreement that the EVFTA import tax rate will be pushed higher than the 9.6% GSP currently enjoyed. . However, the EVFTA Agreement brings long-term benefits to Vietnam's textile and apparel industry, not just the benefits of tariff elimination. The benefits of EVFTA are superior to the GSP mechanism we are enjoying, although in the first year of the Agreement, some products did not benefit from tax reduction because when the EVFTA Agreement came into effect, Vietnam will not be eligible for GSP mode.

    The biggest limitation of the GSP is the "maturity threshold", which limits the expansion of Vietnam's textile and garment export market to the EU because if Vietnam's textile and garment export turnover exceeds 14.5% of total imports of products From all the countries that are entitled to the GSP, within three years, Vietnamese textiles and garments will be excluded from the GSP mechanism.

    According to our statistics, in the Top 10 CAT exports to the EU, accounting for 72% of total exports (exports) to the EU, 76% of exports (in the B5 and B7 groups) in the first year the tax effect will be pushed. higher than GSP, specifically:

    2.2. Meet the rules of origin "from fabric onwards" to enjoy tariff incentives of EVFTA

    The principle of allowing Vietnamese textiles and garments to enjoy preferential import tax rates under the EVFTA requires fabric to be woven in Vietnam or the EU and to cut apparel in Vietnam. Note that the rules of origin for textiles under EVFTA are expressed in the form of a "specific production process", not the rules of converting CTC codes such as the CPTPP and signed FTAs. self-rules of business origin are now under the current GSP.

    In addition, the cumulative principle in EVFTA allows Vietnamese enterprises to use fabrics of:

    (i) Korea or a third country with which both sides sign an FTA (Japan or a future country with the same FTA), or

    (ii) ASEAN provided that the preferential tax rate applied to that item is higher than that of similar products of the participating ASEAN country.

    EVFTA allows the subdivision of consignments in the case of transit of goods in transit through a non-member third party provided that the goods are still under customs supervision, this is the second FTA With CPTPP allowing businesses to do this, this provision is very convenient for businesses when exporting, they can send large distribution centers to split delivery according to the appropriate season.

    Regarding the procedure of certification of origin, the mechanism of self-certification of origin for exporters is eligible for application to EU enterprises exporting to Vietnam, and for Vietnamese enterprises exporting to the EU, perhaps presently. still applying for traditional C / O, Vietnam will notify the EU to deploy self-certification of origin when ready.

    3. FORECAST OF GROWTH EXPORT TO EU
    The EVFTA Agreement's "fabric forward" rules of origin remain a short-term challenge for Vietnam's textile and apparel industry. The situation of Vietnam's textile industry is not enough high quality fabric for export to the EU, the purchase of domestic fabrics must pay 10% VAT more expensive than imported fabrics, making the benefit of tariff reduction insufficient to offset. Competitive price reduction with other countries.

    Assuming the import tax rate decreases by 1%, the export turnover increases by 2% (excluding the annual export growth), it is forecasted that the export turnover to the EU in the 2020-2025 period will increase as follows. :

    Along with the above analysis, in the short term, EVFTA will be difficult to create a strong push for Vietnam's textile and apparel industry, such as the time of joining WTO or signing BTA with the US, EVFTA expects to bring long-term benefits for Vietnam. Vietnam's textile and apparel industry in increasing export market share to the EU market, reducing dependence on the US market and reducing risks when the US market fluctuates because the US-China trade conflict has not ended.

    Brexit issues should also be noted because the UK has officially left the EU from January 31, 2020 with a deadline of December 31, 2020. The UK is still considered an EVFTA member. Therefore, from now until the end of the year, assuming EVFTA takes effect even this year, enterprises can still use imported British fabrics to produce still meeting EVFTA rules of origin, but the story after December 31, 2020. Currently unclear, depending on negotiations between the UK and EU.

    Story: DUC ANH - HOANG HAN

    The article was published in the Vietnam Textile and Fashion Magazine, March 2020

    Related posts

    EXCELLENT DELIVERY TIME - ENSURED QUALITY - EXACT QUANTITYCopyright © 2020 Copyright by VAN NANG BANOK COMPANY LTD | Thiết kế và phát triển bởi P.A Việt Nam

    • Facebook
    • Youtube